Commercial Space Is Not an Endless Field of Innovation: An Assessment of the Good, the Bad, & the Ugly

Arlington, VA | September 16, 2026 — The Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies announces a new entry in its Forum Paper series, Commercial Space Is Not an Endless Field of Innovation: An Assessment of the Good, the Bad, & the Ugly, by Col Charles S. Galbreath, USSF (Ret.), Director of the Mitchell Institute’s Spacepower Advantage Center of Excellence. This article was first published in The Space Review on August 31, 2026.

Commercial space capabilities promise faster, cheaper, and more innovative options for U.S. national security space missions, but they are not a universal solution. This paper argues that commercial space should be treated less as an endless field of ready-made innovation and more as a cultivated garden requiring deliberate acquisition strategy, market awareness, and operational integration. It assesses the “good,” including private investment, faster delivery, expanded capacity, broader industrial-base participation, and innovation; the “bad,” including scaling challenges, overpromising, and provider discretion; and the “ugly,” including startup failure rates, unstable government demand, policy barriers, and classification obstacles. The paper concludes that commercial integration can strengthen a hybrid space architecture only when guided by experienced acquisition professionals, realistic requirements, rigorous testing, stable funding, and collaborative government-industry relationships.

Mitchell Institute’s Forum Papers present innovative concepts and thought-provoking insight from aerospace experts here in the United States and across the globe. As a means to afford publishing opportunities for thoughtful perspectives, Forum Papers provide high visibility to writing efforts on issues spanning technology and operational concepts, defense policy and strategy, and unique interpretations of changing geopolitical relationships.

For media inquiries, email our publications team at forum.mitchellaerospacepower@afa.org

Copies of Forum Papers can be downloaded at https://www.mitchellaerospacepower.org/publications

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